Anyone
who has worked with computers or data bases has heard the saying, “Garbage in =
Garbage out.” Data can never be accurate
or relevant without good input. We have
seen that with the Wuhan
The
problem is not that the science is bad.
The problem is that the data is bad.
Some people are saying we need more testing and that may be true,
because the data is garbage now.
The
number of people who have contracted the Wuhan Wuhan
We
also know for a fact that the number of deaths from the Wuhan
Because
of the virus, people don’t go to the hospital as soon as they have in the
past. As a result, deaths from heart
attacks, strokes and many other physical ailments are taking more lives. These deaths are being counted as Wuhan
With
the number of deaths over reported and the number of people contracting the
virus grossly understated, so the mortality rate for the virus becomes
overstated by probably 100% or more. When Governors say they are issuing
stay-at-home orders and shutting down the economy based on the science, I have
to ask, “What science?”
I
don’t want to see anyone die, but we can’t have an economic shutdown that does
more damage and kills more people than it saves. Is government doing this?
God bless President
Trump and guide him to make America
Trump
did not bring division. Division brought
Trump.
If you don’t see that, then you’re
part of the problem.
Ava Armstrong.
http://BusinessFits.com Business Fits by Terry Oliver Lee is available on Amazon as an e-book or
a paperback.
An interesting perspective presented in the latest blog. Seems so say that the ends might be justified by the means. Meaning, bad input leads to bad conclusions. But is that the whole story?
ReplyDeleteCurrent limitations in testing for Covid-19 in the U.S. are glaring and have certainly been a critical factor in what we know about the true number of Covid-19 infections and deaths. Early efforts in planning, sourcing resources, Federal direction and coordination have been grossly lacking. Now states have been charged with catch up, competing for testing essentials like swabs and reagents. If it were only that easy without FEMA competition bidding for these scarce resources. Still, that’s the current situation.
The testing limitations certainly call into question the accuracy of the reported number of Covid-19 cases by state and the U.S. overall. We simply do not know the extent of the under count of cases. As for deaths, the departure from normal could indicate the real count.
According to the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), in a 7-state analysis, total deaths in the 5-week period March 8 to April 11 were 50% higher than normal. The number of excess deaths in NY, NJ, MI, IL, MA, MD and CO, over the average of the past 5 years, totaled 27,200. The reported Covid-19 deaths in the period in those states totaled 18,109. The difference represents a potential under reporting of 9,000.
This under reporting is in direct contrast to the blog writers claim that “Hospitals are reporting almost any death not ruled a homicide as being caused by the virus.” Is there a source for this fact or is it just personal opinion? If hospitals were mis-reporting cause of death, why would such a gap in reported Covid-19 deaths compared to excess deaths exist?
The full article reporting the CDC analysis of excess deaths can be found in the New York Times dated April 30.